Paul Tuon 2 weeks ago
"HOT" "HOT" SENTIMENTAL PLAY OF THE WEEK!



1 1/16 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | Purse: $110,000


Date: Saturday April 12, 2025
Track: Keeneland
Race: 3
Surface: Turf

Horse: Theravada (ML 9/2 favorite)

Bet Theravada to win, place using double down betting strategy, but personally, I will bet her to WIN as this is a sentimental play that I only care if she wins and not be second or third.


With that said, take two! -- as take one, in which, I also betted her to only win but she finished 3rd at 28-1 while paying a huge show bet.

There you go you missed out on the huge show bet if you did what I did last time (Sunday February 23, 2025).

Now you know the trick!


Here is a food for thought:

On her debut race I wanted to bet her to win for souvenir purposes and I did exactly that at 28-1.

How much money did I bet her to win (you might ask)?

I won't reveal the exact amounts but since my real goal was to bet her for profit and for souvenir purposes as well, you can guess that the souvenir side of the bets won't carry substantial amounts but the profit side of the bets -- it's anybody's guess as to how much I (or anyone) would bet on a 28-1 odd horse.

A hypothetical example would be something like this:

Souvenir tickets: $2, $5, $10, $20, $50, and $100.

That's what I would have done, depending on how strongly I feel about my horse's chances of winning, but considering I was very high on Theravada, $50 to $100 bet on her would not out of my impulse.

Had Theravada won the race would I keep the $50 or the $100 tickets as souvenirs?

Highly unlikely -- but the $2, $5, $10, $20, I would!


For profit tickets: It's anyone's guess on a 28-1.


Anyhow, Theravada, a regally-bred daughter of Tapit out of the multiple Grade 2 winner Cambodia.


Cambodia (lifetime: $858,913) won the $200,000 Gr II Yellow Ribbon Handicap on August 4, 2018, at Del Mar, beating world-class racehorses that came from Europe and Canada, including top grass horses from the United States (Chad Brown's).

In addition to her stake wins twice in the Yellow Ribbon Handicap (G2) in 2017 and 2018 (back-to-back), both at a distance of 1 1/4 miles, she also won the 2017 John C. Mabee Stakes (G2) and the 2017 Gallorette (G3).


She retired to a broodmare in 2020 with a stellar resume.

She was mated to Medaglia D’oro for the 2020 breeding season.

I don't know the status of her first foal from mating with Medaglia D’oro.

Theravada is Cambodia's second foal.

Theravada made her career debut on grass for trainer Rusty Arnold on February 23, 2025, at Gulfstream Park, race 2, in a 7 1/2-furlongs race for 3-year-old fillies, starting from post 10 in an overflow field of 15 fillies, but only 12 is allowed to run, with the remaining 3 are listed as "Also Eligible" horses.

And similarly in this race, she is starting from post 9 in an overflow field of 16 3yo fillies, but only 12 is allowed to run, with the remaining 4 are listed as "Also Eligible" horses.

In her debut race she faced a very good group of 3yo fillies (that day) as you can tell by her final odd of 28-1, but in this race, she is nowhere near her 28-1 odd as her morning line odd is 9-2 favorite.

Yes, 9-2 FAVORITE since it is a very competitive field of 12 3yo fillies.

You know that Keeneland brings horses from all over the country, consisting the best of the best this country has to offer, particularly the spring meet at Keeneland.

However, I think she is up to the challenge and I think she will win this race and goes on to better things ahead this summer.

AT LEAST THAT IS WHAT I AM ANTICIPATING FOR HER TO DO!


ENJOY THE RACE THIS SATURDAY, EVERYONE!

I KNOW I AM!


GO THERAVADA!
GO THERAVADA!
GO THERAVADA!
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2 weeks ago